The importance of Red Belly’s accurate speed mapping was underlined in Complacent’s victory in the Group 1 Spring Champion Stakes (2000m) at Randwick on Saturday.
Red Belly Ratings had Complacent ($3.80) and Savvy Nature ($4) very close together in price, but our form expert Ed Kennett knew the Darley runner would have a key advantage because he’d be positioned much more forward in the run.
The race turned out as Red Belly anticipated, with Complacent settling third on the fence and proving too strong for Criterion and Savvy Nature.
We backed Complacent at $5.50, well in excess of the $3.80 rated price.
Red Belly Ratings finished Saturday’s Randwick and Caulfield meetings with a loss of 1.81 units, after suffering another frustrating run of second placings.
Anatina ($7 rated a $4.80 chance) ran second to Missy Longstocking, while Pago Rock ($13 rated a $7 chance) was just edged out by Unpretentious.
On a more positive note, two of our saver selections were successful – Long John in the Caulfield Guineas, and Sharnee Rose in the last at Rosehill.
Overall, we were happy with what we did despite the small loss, and we know from experience that those seconds will turn into firsts soon enough, as long as we maintain patience and discipline.